Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 1032.149701 1174.229465 1334.033099 1528.115484 1758.830107 2026.029210 2361.379091
2025-05-11 815.913309 999.484811 1226.404766 1531.726581 1938.314541 2470.676097 3236.786025
2025-05-18 720.423114 925.886030 1196.195206 1586.247949 2149.164406 2956.031099 4246.834609
2025-05-25 651.942935 870.202864 1172.003293 1633.180714 2345.379775 3449.789417 5394.054567
2025-06-01 593.043027 816.403238 1138.187275 1654.182389 2498.888616 3903.262473 6602.424378
2025-06-08 542.064933 765.923124 1099.885487 1658.247677 2620.681495 4325.037837 7881.328500
2025-06-15 507.726690 735.146524 1085.807356 1696.078901 2802.427049 4889.498958 9630.592475
2025-06-22 459.178924 676.855286 1020.760951 1637.487605 2799.227896 5100.922463 10696.587746
2025-06-29 418.973195 627.576037 964.457336 1585.321541 2797.021407 5310.957680 11835.762437
2025-07-06 382.684313 581.227273 908.035983 1524.957734 2767.462361 5454.889599 12864.944143
2025-07-13 370.807227 573.810903 916.704836 1585.600119 2992.944346 6221.433973 15941.668703
2025-07-20 353.943232 556.340967 905.720249 1606.583324 3137.902213 6837.842161 18905.266641
2025-07-27 336.319968 536.575773 889.531848 1616.999591 3266.455022 7464.190461 22332.958572
2025-08-03 319.393566 516.706167 871.334470 1621.238589 3383.151798 8100.659760 26261.373889
2025-08-10 310.775448 510.833790 878.573659 1679.758327 3642.865657 9230.514696 33094.147871
2025-08-17 301.775276 503.425646 881.952949 1730.192487 3893.880103 10432.454311 41470.169482
2025-08-24 290.434499 490.707501 873.533801 1752.767995 4076.823688 11490.673295 50355.076646
2025-08-31 278.172891 475.290972 858.191843 1757.138610 4211.098397 12439.911416 59867.458502
2025-09-07 270.306252 467.687579 858.095898 1797.820310 4459.868861 13924.206775 75154.498233
2025-09-14 253.689188 441.893254 817.777901 1734.821512 4385.676968 14121.248039 81424.955020
2025-09-21 238.966531 418.953555 781.815723 1678.765803 4323.384096 14353.589682 88523.982291
2025-09-28 224.580043 395.877319 743.956333 1613.942752 4222.618073 14393.962947 94198.563001
2025-10-05 221.729596 395.743142 755.804524 1679.065065 4558.500264 16547.679931 125404.531676